Championship· Regular Season - 18
Birmingham
Bolton28 Nov
Birmingham vs Bolton Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.2 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Birmingham vs Bolton tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Birmingham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBirmingham or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bolton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Bolton or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 1Birmingham to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Birmingham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| 2Bolton to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bolton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.07 | - |
Birmingham vs Bolton preview & analysis
Match preview
Birmingham host Bolton in the Championship (Regular Season - 18) on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Birmingham arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Preston 4-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 10 games. Bolton arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Wolves 3-1 away. They're 14th in the table with 13 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Birmingham have won 2, Bolton have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Birmingham narrow favourites: Birmingham 44%, draw 38%, Bolton 18%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Birmingham 2-1 Bolton.
Recent form
Birmingham- 13 OctHPreston4-0
- 10 OctAWest Brom1-0
- 19 SeptHMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptADerby2-1
- 9 SeptANorwich1-2
Bolton- 13 OctAWolves3-1
- 10 OctHStoke City1-2
- 20 SeptANorwich4-3
- 12 SeptHCardiff1-0
- 8 SeptHWest Ham2-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 |  Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
Birmingham vs Bolton: FAQ
What is the Birmingham vs Bolton prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Birmingham 2-1 Bolton.
Who is the favourite to win Birmingham vs Bolton?
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Birmingham are favourites. Our model gives Birmingham a 44% chance of winning, Bolton 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Birmingham vs Bolton?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Birmingham vs Bolton kick off?
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Birmingham vs Bolton kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026.
