Ligue 1· Regular Season - 3· CEPAC Vélodrome
Marseille
Paris FC2-3
FT
Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Marseille vs Paris FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMarseille or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Paris FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Paris FC or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.80 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.25 | - |
| 1Marseille to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.04 | - |
| 2Paris FC to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Paris FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.99 | - |
Marseille vs Paris FC preview & analysis
Match preview
Marseille host Paris FC in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 3) at CEPAC Vélodrome on Sunday, 6 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Paris FC arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Nice 3-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 11 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Marseille have won 1, Paris FC have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 5.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Marseille narrow favourites: Marseille 44%, draw 38%, Paris FC 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 57% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
MarseilleParis FC- 30 AugHNice3-0
- 22 AugAEstac Troyes0-0
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Marseille vs Paris FC: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Marseille vs Paris FC?
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Marseille are favourites. Our model gives Marseille a 44% chance of winning, Paris FC 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Paris FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Marseille vs Paris FC kick off?
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Marseille vs Paris FC kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at CEPAC Vélodrome, Marseille.
