Bundesliga· Regular Season - 2· Volksparkstadion
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 050-5
FT
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FSV Mainz 05 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2FSV Mainz 05 or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Hamburger SV +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XHamburger SV or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2FSV Mainz 05 to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FSV Mainz 05 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Hamburger SV to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Hamburger SV -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 preview & analysis
Match preview
Hamburger SV host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 2) at Volksparkstadion on Sunday, 6 September 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Hamburger SV arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 1 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 2. Most recently they lost to Borussia Dortmund 0-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 6 points from 5 games. FSV Mainz 05 arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 0. Most recently they drew with SC Paderborn 07 0-0 at home. They're 8th in the table with 7 points from 5 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Hamburger SV have won 1, FSV Mainz 05 have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FSV Mainz 05 narrow favourites: Hamburger SV 23%, draw 38%, FSV Mainz 05 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Hamburger SV- 29 AugABorussia Dortmund0-2
FSV Mainz 05- 29 AugHSC Paderborn 070-0
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
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FSV Mainz 05 are favourites. Our model gives Hamburger SV a 23% chance of winning, FSV Mainz 05 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
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Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg.
