Premier League· Regular Season - 3· Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
Chelsea2-1
FT
Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Arsenal vs Chelsea tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Arsenal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XArsenal or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Chelsea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Chelsea or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Arsenal to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Arsenal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Chelsea to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Chelsea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
Arsenal vs Chelsea preview & analysis
Match preview
Arsenal host Chelsea in the Premier League (Regular Season - 3) at Emirates Stadium on Sunday, 6 September 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Chelsea arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Brighton 4-3 at home. They're 6th in the table with 10 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Arsenal have won 4, Chelsea have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Arsenal narrow favourites: Arsenal 44%, draw 38%, Chelsea 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Recent form
ArsenalChelsea- 30 AugHBrighton4-3
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Arsenal vs Chelsea: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Arsenal vs Chelsea?
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Arsenal are favourites. Our model gives Arsenal a 44% chance of winning, Chelsea 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Chelsea?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Arsenal vs Chelsea kick off?
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Arsenal vs Chelsea kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Emirates Stadium, London.
