La Liga 2· Regular Season - 16· Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Mallorca
Castellón29 Nov
Mallorca vs Castellón Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
1.3 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Mallorca vs Castellón tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Mallorca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| 1XMallorca or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Castellón +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| X2Castellón or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Mallorca to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.55 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Mallorca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.11 | - |
| 2Castellón to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Castellón -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.06 | - |
Mallorca vs Castellón preview & analysis
Match preview
Mallorca host Castellón in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 16) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Mallorca arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Las Palmas 3-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 9 games. Castellón arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to FC Andorra 0-1 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Mallorca have won 2, Castellón have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Mallorca narrow favourites: Mallorca 44%, draw 38%, Castellón 18%. We expect around 2.1 goals (1.3 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Mallorca 1-0 Castellón.
Recent form
Mallorca- 11 OctHLas Palmas3-1
- 4 OctAGirona0-0
- 27 SeptHAlmeria0-1
- 19 SeptAReal Sociedad II1-0
- 13 SeptHSabadell2-0
Castellón- 11 OctAFC Andorra0-1
- 4 OctHAD Ceuta FC1-1
- 28 SeptALeganes2-0
- 19 SeptHTenerife5-0
- 12 SeptAGirona2-1
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
Mallorca vs Castellón: FAQ
What is the Mallorca vs Castellón prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Mallorca 1-0 Castellón.
Who is the favourite to win Mallorca vs Castellón?
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Mallorca are favourites. Our model gives Mallorca a 44% chance of winning, Castellón 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Mallorca vs Castellón?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Mallorca vs Castellón kick off?
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Mallorca vs Castellón kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca.
