La Liga· Regular Season - 9· La Rosaleda
Malaga
Real Sociedad18 Oct
Malaga vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
More Malaga vs Real Sociedad tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Real Sociedad +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| AH1 +1.5Malaga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| X2Real Sociedad or Draw | 73% | 1.36 | 1.39 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| 1XMalaga or Draw | 56% | 1.77 | 1.70 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 2.10 |
| 2Real Sociedad to win | 44% | 2.29 | 2.29 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.35 | 2.25 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 | 2.84 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.35 | 3.64 |
| 1Malaga to win | 27% | 3.77 | 3.28 |
| AH2 -1.5Real Sociedad -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.78 | 4.05 |
| AH1 -1.5Malaga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.82 | 6.40 |
Malaga vs Real Sociedad odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.15 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 3.28 | 3.64 | 2.29 | 1.86 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.18 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 3.54 | 2.23 | 1.80 | 2.03 | 1.62 | 2.16 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.35 | 3.55 | 2.20 | 1.81 | 2.08 | - | - |
Malaga vs Real Sociedad preview & analysis
Match preview
Malaga host Real Sociedad in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) at La Rosaleda on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Malaga arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Espanyol 1-1 at home. They're 20th in the table with 4 points from 8 games. Real Sociedad arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Union St. Gilloise 1-1 away. They're 6th in the table with 13 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Malaga have won 2, Real Sociedad have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Real Sociedad narrow favourites: Malaga 27%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 44%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.62, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Malaga 0-1 Real Sociedad.
Recent form
Malaga- 9 OctHEspanyol1-1
- 20 SeptAGetafe0-1
- 17 SeptHVillarreal1-3
- 13 SeptACelta Vigo1-1
- 6 SeptHLevante0-0
Real Sociedad- 15 OctAUnion St. Gilloise1-1
- 11 OctHDeportivo La Coruna3-2
- 2 OctHAthletic Club0-1
- 20 SeptAValencia3-2
- 17 SeptHBournemouth1-2
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Malaga vs Real Sociedad: FAQ
What is the Malaga vs Real Sociedad prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.62. Our predicted score is Malaga 0-1 Real Sociedad.
Who is the favourite to win Malaga vs Real Sociedad?
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Real Sociedad are favourites. Our model gives Malaga a 27% chance of winning, Real Sociedad 44%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Malaga vs Real Sociedad?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Malaga vs Real Sociedad kick off?
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Malaga vs Real Sociedad kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at La Rosaleda, Malaga.
