Ligue 1· Regular Season - 7· Groupama Stadium
Lyon
Nice18 Oct
Lyon vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.75
Expected goals
2.1 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
More Lyon vs Nice tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lyon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.02 |
| 1XLyon or Draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| AH2 +1.5Nice +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 59% | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| 1Lyon to win | 55% | 1.82 | 1.71 |
| X2Nice or Draw | 45% | 2.23 | 2.27 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.28 | 2.20 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | 2.31 |
| AH1 -1.5Lyon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 41% | 2.44 | 2.86 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.77 | 2.55 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| 2Nice to win | 18% | 5.48 | 5.18 |
| AH2 -1.5Nice -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 21.32 | 10.00 |
Lyon vs Nice odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.60 | - | - | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 4.20 | 5.18 | 1.72 | 2.31 | 1.65 | 2.13 |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.70 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 4.10 | 5.05 | 1.67 | 2.24 | 1.65 | 2.11 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.60 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 4.20 | 4.81 | 1.68 | 2.28 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.66 | 4.19 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.95 | 5.00 | 1.75 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
Lyon vs Nice preview & analysis
Match preview
Lyon host Nice in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Groupama Stadium on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lyon arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Lens 1-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 11 points from 6 games. Nice arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Strasbourg 2-1 at home. They're 9th in the table with 8 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lyon have won 4, Nice have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lyon favourites: Lyon 55%, draw 27%, Nice 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 57% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.72, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Lyon 2-0 Nice.
Recent form
Lyon- 9 OctALens1-2
- 19 SeptHRennes4-0
- 16 SeptAAnderlecht2-1
- 12 SeptAParis FC0-0
- 4 SeptHAuxerre3-1
Nice- 11 OctHStrasbourg2-1
- 20 SeptHLille2-1
- 12 SeptAAuxerre0-1
- 5 SeptHLe Mans1-1
- 30 AugAParis FC0-3
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Lyon vs Nice: FAQ
What is the Lyon vs Nice prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72. Our predicted score is Lyon 2-0 Nice.
Who is the favourite to win Lyon vs Nice?
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Lyon are favourites. Our model gives Lyon a 55% chance of winning, Nice 18%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Lyon vs Nice?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Lyon vs Nice kick off?
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Lyon vs Nice kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Groupama Stadium, Lyon.
