La Liga 2· Regular Season - 10· Gran Canaria
Las Palmas
Castellón17 Oct
Las Palmas vs Castellón Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.9
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Match probabilities
More Las Palmas vs Castellón tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Castellón +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | 1.04 |
| X2Castellón or Draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.31 |
| AH1 +1.5Las Palmas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | 1.46 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 1XLas Palmas or Draw | 54% | 1.87 | 1.82 |
| 2Castellón to win | 46% | 2.15 | 2.06 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | 2.33 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.53 | 2.39 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.72 | 2.38 |
| AH2 -1.5Castellón -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.24 | 3.28 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.49 | 3.82 |
| 1Las Palmas to win | 25% | 4.02 | 3.53 |
| AH1 -1.5Las Palmas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.11 | 6.80 |
Las Palmas vs Castellón odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.95 | - | - | 1.55 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 3.53 | 3.82 | 2.01 | 1.63 | 2.33 | 1.51 | 2.39 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.65 | 2.06 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.42 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.59 | 2.27 | 1.51 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.91 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.56 | 3.75 | 1.98 | 1.66 | 2.25 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.95 | 3.17 | 2.02 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.70 | 2.05 | 1.65 | 2.32 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
Las Palmas vs Castellón preview & analysis
Match preview
Las Palmas host Castellón in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 10) at Gran Canaria on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Las Palmas are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Mallorca 1-3 away. They're 15th in the table with 11 points from 9 games. Castellón arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to FC Andorra 0-1 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Las Palmas have won 2, Castellón have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.4 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Castellón favourites: Las Palmas 25%, draw 29%, Castellón 46%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.1 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.55, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Las Palmas 1-2 Castellón.
Recent form
Las Palmas- 11 OctAMallorca1-3
- 4 OctHValladolid2-2
- 27 SeptAEibar2-3
- 20 SeptHBurgos1-2
- 12 SeptACadiz1-0
Castellón- 11 OctAFC Andorra0-1
- 4 OctHAD Ceuta FC1-1
- 28 SeptALeganes2-0
- 19 SeptHTenerife5-0
- 12 SeptAGirona2-1
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Celta de Vigo II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 |  Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
Las Palmas vs Castellón: FAQ
What is the Las Palmas vs Castellón prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.55. Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1-2 Castellón.
Who is the favourite to win Las Palmas vs Castellón?
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Castellón are favourites. Our model gives Las Palmas a 25% chance of winning, Castellón 46%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Las Palmas vs Castellón?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Las Palmas vs Castellón kick off?
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Las Palmas vs Castellón kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria.
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