Veikkausliiga· Championship Group - 30· Vare Areena
KuPS
Gnistan29 Oct
KuPS vs Gnistan Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
1.0 - 0.6
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More KuPS vs Gnistan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5KuPS +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Gnistan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XKuPS or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| X2Gnistan or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1KuPS to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 28% | 3.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| 2Gnistan to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH1 -1.5KuPS -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 12.69 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gnistan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.29 | - |
KuPS vs Gnistan preview & analysis
Match preview
KuPS host Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga (Championship Group - 30) at Vare Areena on Thursday, 29 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
KuPS are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Trabzonspor 2-4 at home. They're 1st in the table with 43 points from 22 games. Gnistan arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to VPS 0-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 36 points from 22 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, KuPS have won 4, Gnistan have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes KuPS narrow favourites: KuPS 44%, draw 38%, Gnistan 18%. We expect around 1.6 goals (1.0 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 22% for over 2.5 and 28% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 78% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is KuPS 1-0 Gnistan.
Recent form
KuPS- 15 OctHTrabzonspor2-4
- 11 OctAInter Turku0-1
- 8 OctHAC Oulu0-1
- 19 SeptAVPS2-0
- 13 SeptHHJK Helsinki0-0
Gnistan- 12 OctAVPS0-1
- 7 OctHInter Turku0-0
- 18 SeptHHJK Helsinki1-1
- 12 SeptAAC Oulu2-1
- 8 SeptHKuPS1-1
Head to head
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -26 | 14 |
KuPS vs Gnistan: FAQ
What is the KuPS vs Gnistan prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is KuPS 1-0 Gnistan.
Who is the favourite to win KuPS vs Gnistan?
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KuPS are favourites. Our model gives KuPS a 44% chance of winning, Gnistan 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in KuPS vs Gnistan?
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We rate both teams to score at 28%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does KuPS vs Gnistan kick off?
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KuPS vs Gnistan kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026 at Vare Areena, Kuopio.
