J1 League· Regular Season - 18· Fukuda Denshi Arena
JEF United Chiba
Kashima5 Dec
JEF United Chiba vs Kashima Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More JEF United Chiba vs Kashima tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Kashima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Kashima or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5JEF United Chiba +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XJEF United Chiba or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Kashima to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Kashima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1JEF United Chiba to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5JEF United Chiba -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
JEF United Chiba vs Kashima preview & analysis
Match preview
JEF United Chiba host Kashima in the J1 League (Regular Season - 18) at Fukuda Denshi Arena on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 04:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
JEF United Chiba are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with V-varen Nagasaki 1-1 at home. They're 19th in the table with 5 points from 9 games. Kashima arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Công An Nhân Dân 1-0 away. They're 6th in the table with 16 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, JEF United Chiba have won 0, Kashima have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Kashima narrow favourites: JEF United Chiba 23%, draw 38%, Kashima 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is JEF United Chiba 1-2 Kashima.
Recent form
JEF United Chiba- 11 OctHV-varen Nagasaki1-1
- 7 OctAFagiano Okayama0-1
- 29 SeptAJubilo Iwata2-4
- 19 SeptAShimizu S-pulse1-2
- 13 SeptATokyo Verdy1-1
Kashima- 13 OctACông An Nhân Dân1-0
- 9 OctHGamba Osaka2-0
- 23 SeptHVentforet Kofu3-1
- 19 SeptAKawasaki Frontale3-3
- 15 SeptHNewcastle Jets7-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
JEF United Chiba vs Kashima: FAQ
What is the JEF United Chiba vs Kashima prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 1-2 Kashima.
Who is the favourite to win JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?
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Kashima are favourites. Our model gives JEF United Chiba a 23% chance of winning, Kashima 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does JEF United Chiba vs Kashima kick off?
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JEF United Chiba vs Kashima kicks off at 04:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba.
