Liga Profesional· Clausura - 13· Estadio Bautista Gargantini
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre17 Oct
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.63
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Independ. Rivadavia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| 1XIndepend. Rivadavia or Draw | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| AH2 +1.5Tigre +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | 1.20 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| X2Tigre or Draw | 53% | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| 1Independ. Rivadavia to win | 47% | 2.12 | 1.99 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 44% | 2.26 | 2.10 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.58 | 2.44 |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.09 | 3.16 |
| AH1 -1.5Independ. Rivadavia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.77 | 3.68 |
| 2Tigre to win | 21% | 4.87 | 4.28 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | 4.40 |
| AH2 -1.5Tigre -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.04 | 9.00 |
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 4.00 | - | - | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.16 | 4.28 | 2.44 | 1.56 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.33 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.20 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.08 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.13 | 4.10 | 2.31 | 1.52 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 3.16 | 4.17 | 2.55 | 1.52 | - | - |
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre preview & analysis
Match preview
Independ. Rivadavia host Tigre in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 13) at Estadio Bautista Gargantini on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Independ. Rivadavia arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Rosario Central 0-5 away. They're 1st in the table with 34 points from 16 games. Tigre are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Banfield 1-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 20 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Independ. Rivadavia have won 4, Tigre have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Independ. Rivadavia favourites: Independ. Rivadavia 47%, draw 32%, Tigre 21%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 39% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.56, which our model rates at a 61% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Independ. Rivadavia 1-0 Tigre.
Recent form
Independ. Rivadavia- 11 OctARosario Central0-5
- 3 OctHGimnasia L.P.1-1
- 21 SeptABarracas Central1-0
- 16 SeptHAtletico Tucuman1-1
- 12 SeptHAldosivi4-3
Tigre- 10 OctHBanfield1-2
- 4 OctAArgentinos JRS1-2
- 21 SeptAVelez Sarsfield2-3
- 13 SeptHRosario Central0-1
- 5 SeptAGimnasia L.P.1-2
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 29 |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre: FAQ
What is the Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.56. Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1-0 Tigre.
Who is the favourite to win Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?
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Independ. Rivadavia are favourites. Our model gives Independ. Rivadavia a 47% chance of winning, Tigre 21%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?
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We rate both teams to score at 44%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre kick off?
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Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre kicks off at 20:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza.
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