Eredivisie· Regular Season - 11· Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen31 Oct
Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Heerenveen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XHeerenveen or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5NEC Nijmegen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Heerenveen to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Heerenveen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2NEC Nijmegen to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5NEC Nijmegen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen preview & analysis
Match preview
Heerenveen host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 11) at Abe Lenstra Stadion on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Heerenveen arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to PSV Eindhoven 0-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 9 points from 8 games. NEC Nijmegen arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Most recently they drew with Levski Sofia 1-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 9 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Heerenveen have won 2, NEC Nijmegen have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Heerenveen narrow favourites: Heerenveen 44%, draw 38%, NEC Nijmegen 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Heerenveen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen.
Recent form
Heerenveen- 9 OctAPSV Eindhoven0-2
- 19 SeptASparta Rotterdam4-0
- 13 SeptHTelstar0-0
- 6 SeptHAZ Alkmaar2-3
- 30 AugAWillem II2-2
NEC Nijmegen- 15 OctHLevski Sofia1-1
- 10 OctAAjax1-1
- 20 SeptHGO Ahead Eagles1-1
- 17 SeptAJuventus0-5
- 12 SeptACambuur0-3
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen: FAQ
What is the Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Heerenveen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen.
Who is the favourite to win Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
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Heerenveen are favourites. Our model gives Heerenveen a 44% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen kick off?
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Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen.
