Eredivisie· Regular Season - 34· Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen
Ajax0-0
FT
Heerenveen vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 17 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Heerenveen vs Ajax tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Ajax +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Ajax or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Heerenveen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XHeerenveen or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Ajax to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Ajax -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Heerenveen to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Heerenveen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Heerenveen vs Ajax preview & analysis
Match preview
Heerenveen host Ajax in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 34) at Abe Lenstra Stadion on Sunday, 17 May 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Heerenveen have won 1, Ajax have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ajax narrow favourites: Heerenveen 23%, draw 38%, Ajax 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 84 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | +26 | 65 |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +24 | 59 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +19 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 | 53 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +4 | 48 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -22 | 43 |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | +1 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -27 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -23 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | -50 | 19 |
Heerenveen vs Ajax: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Heerenveen vs Ajax?
+
Ajax are favourites. Our model gives Heerenveen a 23% chance of winning, Ajax 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Ajax?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Heerenveen vs Ajax kick off?
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Heerenveen vs Ajax kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen.
