Eredivisie· Regular Season - 34· AFAS Stadion
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda3-3
FT
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 17 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AZ Alkmaar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.04 | - |
| 1XAZ Alkmaar or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 | - |
| AH2 +1.5NAC Breda +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 67% | 1.48 | - |
| X2NAC Breda or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1AZ Alkmaar to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 33% | 3.07 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AZ Alkmaar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.84 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.98 | - |
| 2NAC Breda to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5NAC Breda -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 24.58 | - |
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda preview & analysis
Match preview
AZ Alkmaar host NAC Breda in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 34) at AFAS Stadion on Sunday, 17 May 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, AZ Alkmaar have won 4, NAC Breda have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AZ Alkmaar favourites: AZ Alkmaar 47%, draw 41%, NAC Breda 12%. We expect around 1.9 goals (1.3 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 30% for over 2.5 and 33% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 84 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | +26 | 65 |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +24 | 59 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +19 | 58 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +4 | 48 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -22 | 43 |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | +1 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -27 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -23 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | -50 | 19 |
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?
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AZ Alkmaar are favourites. Our model gives AZ Alkmaar a 47% chance of winning, NAC Breda 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?
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We rate both teams to score at 33%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda kick off?
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AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
