Ligue 2· Regular Season - 9· Stade de Roudourou
Guingamp
PAU16 Oct
Guingamp vs PAU Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 16 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
PAU or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.65
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
More Guingamp vs PAU tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Guingamp +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| AH2 +1.5PAU +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | 1.21 |
| 1XGuingamp or Draw | 69% | 1.44 | 1.30 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.32 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 1.81 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 1.93 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.27 | 2.10 |
| 1Guingamp to win | 39% | 2.54 | 2.13 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.24 | 2.88 |
| 2PAU to win | 31% | 3.25 | 3.45 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.34 | 3.52 |
| AH1 -1.5Guingamp -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.70 | 3.58 |
| AH2 -1.5PAU -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.53 | 6.55 |
Guingamp vs PAU odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.52 | 3.30 | 1.81 | 1.93 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.45 | 3.45 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.52 | 3.30 | 1.81 | 1.93 | 1.66 | 2.06 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.78 | 1.89 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.61 | 3.26 | 1.85 | 1.99 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.04 | 2.90 | 1.85 | 1.97 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.45 | 1.87 | 1.98 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
Guingamp vs PAU preview & analysis
Match preview
Guingamp host PAU in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade de Roudourou on Friday, 16 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Guingamp arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Nancy 0-1 away. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. PAU arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Laval 3-2 at home. They're 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Guingamp have won 3, PAU have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Guingamp narrow favourites: Guingamp 39%, draw 30%, PAU 31%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.5 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 52% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
PAU should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is PAU or Draw at 1.71, which our model rates at a 61% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Guingamp 1-0 PAU.
Recent form
Guingamp- 9 OctANancy0-1
- 2 OctHLe Mans2-1
- 19 SeptHRED Star FC 931-3
- 12 SeptHAnnecy2-1
- 5 SeptAReims2-2
PAU- 9 OctHLaval3-2
- 3 OctAToulouse3-2
- 18 SeptHDunkerque2-0
- 11 SeptAMontpellier0-1
- 4 SeptHSochaux1-1
Head to head
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 |  RED Star FC 93 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 |  Reims | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 |  Nancy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Annecy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Dijon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | PAU | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Sochaux | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Grenoble | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Laval | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Guingamp vs PAU: FAQ
What is the Guingamp vs PAU prediction?
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Our tip is PAU or Draw at odds of 1.71. Our predicted score is Guingamp 1-0 PAU.
Who is the favourite to win Guingamp vs PAU?
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Guingamp are favourites. Our model gives Guingamp a 39% chance of winning, PAU 31%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Guingamp vs PAU?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Guingamp vs PAU kick off?
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Guingamp vs PAU kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp.
