Liga MX· Apertura - 12· Estadio Akron
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL18 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.82
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
More Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| 1XGuadalajara Chivas or Draw | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| AH2 +1.5Tigres UANL +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.32 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.77 |
| X2Tigres UANL or Draw | 51% | 1.94 | 1.94 |
| 1Guadalajara Chivas to win | 49% | 2.06 | 1.86 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 | 1.97 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.22 | 2.05 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.13 | 2.88 |
| AH1 -1.5Guadalajara Chivas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.24 | 3.08 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.67 | 3.70 |
| 2Tigres UANL to win | 24% | 4.14 | 4.20 |
| AH2 -1.5Tigres UANL -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.87 | 8.10 |
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.40 | 3.75 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.70 | 4.06 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.69 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.70 | 4.20 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.70 | 4.05 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.69 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.75 | 2.05 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 3.53 | 4.44 | 1.81 | 2.03 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.81 | 3.21 | 3.53 | 1.79 | 2.03 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.45 | 4.25 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL preview & analysis
Match preview
Guadalajara Chivas host Tigres UANL in the Liga MX (Apertura - 12) at Estadio Akron on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:07 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Guadalajara Chivas arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Atlas 1-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 19 points from 11 games. Tigres UANL arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Toluca 3-2 at home. They're 13th in the table with 13 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1, Tigres UANL have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Guadalajara Chivas favourites: Guadalajara Chivas 49%, draw 27%, Tigres UANL 24%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.69, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Tigres UANL.
Recent form
Guadalajara Chivas- 11 OctAAtlas1-1
- 5 OctHClub America2-0
- 27 SeptHClub Queretaro0-2
- 20 SeptAClub America2-2
- 14 SeptHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0
Tigres UANL- 10 OctHToluca3-2
- 27 SeptHPuebla1-0
- 19 SeptAFC Juarez0-2
- 13 SeptAMonterrey0-0
- 6 SeptHNecaxa1-1
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL: FAQ
What is the Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.69. Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Tigres UANL.
Who is the favourite to win Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
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Guadalajara Chivas are favourites. Our model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 49% chance of winning, Tigres UANL 24%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL kick off?
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Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL kicks off at 23:07 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Akron, Guadalajara.
