Eliteserien· Regular Season - 28· Fredrikstad Stadion
Fredrikstad
Aalesund29 Nov
Fredrikstad vs Aalesund Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Fredrikstad vs Aalesund tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Fredrikstad +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XFredrikstad or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Aalesund +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Aalesund or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Fredrikstad to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Fredrikstad -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Aalesund to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Aalesund -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Fredrikstad vs Aalesund preview & analysis
Match preview
Fredrikstad host Aalesund in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 28) at Fredrikstad Stadion on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Fredrikstad arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Tromso 1-1 at home. They're 8th in the table with 29 points from 22 games. Aalesund arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-4 at home. They're 14th in the table with 21 points from 22 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Fredrikstad have won 2, Aalesund have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 4.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fredrikstad narrow favourites: Fredrikstad 44%, draw 38%, Aalesund 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Fredrikstad 2-1 Aalesund.
Recent form
Fredrikstad- 11 OctHTromso1-1
- 20 SeptAValerenga1-1
- 16 SeptAStjørdals-Blink1-0
- 13 SeptHSarpsborg 08 FF1-1
- 4 SeptHBodo/Glimt1-2
Aalesund- 11 OctHSarpsborg 08 FF2-4
- 19 SeptAMolde2-1
- 16 SeptAFørde4-3
- 13 SeptAKFUM Oslo1-2
- 4 SeptHStart2-0
Head to head
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 39 |
| 4 |  Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 |  Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 |  Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 16 |
Fredrikstad vs Aalesund: FAQ
What is the Fredrikstad vs Aalesund prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Fredrikstad 2-1 Aalesund.
Who is the favourite to win Fredrikstad vs Aalesund?
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Fredrikstad are favourites. Our model gives Fredrikstad a 44% chance of winning, Aalesund 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Fredrikstad vs Aalesund?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Fredrikstad vs Aalesund kick off?
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Fredrikstad vs Aalesund kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad.
