Swiss Super League· Regular Season - 16· Stockhorn Arena
FC Thun
FC Luzern5 Dec
FC Thun vs FC Luzern Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Thun vs FC Luzern tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FC Luzern +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2FC Luzern or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5FC Thun +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XFC Thun or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2FC Luzern to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FC Luzern -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1FC Thun to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Thun -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
FC Thun vs FC Luzern preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Thun host FC Luzern in the Swiss Super League (Regular Season - 16) at Stockhorn Arena on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Thun are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Twente 0-1 away. They're 9th in the table with 10 points from 10 games. FC Luzern are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Most recently they lost to FC Lugano 0-4 away. They're 8th in the table with 12 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Thun have won 4, FC Luzern have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Luzern narrow favourites: FC Thun 23%, draw 38%, FC Luzern 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Thun 1-2 FC Luzern.
Recent form
FC Thun- 15 OctATwente0-1
- 10 OctAFC Zurich2-4
- 3 OctHSC Kriens2-0
- 20 SeptAFC Vaduz2-1
- 16 SeptHServette FC2-4
FC Luzern- 10 OctAFC Lugano0-4
- 3 OctASC Freiburg2-4
- 19 SeptHGrasshoppers5-1
- 13 SeptHFC Basel 18932-4
- 5 SeptABSC Young Boys3-3
Head to head
Swiss Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +24 | 28 |
| 2 |  BSC Young Boys | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 |  FC Sion | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |  FC ST. Gallen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 |  FC Zurich | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Servette FC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  FC Basel 1893 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Vaduz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Lausanne | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
FC Thun vs FC Luzern: FAQ
What is the FC Thun vs FC Luzern prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is FC Thun 1-2 FC Luzern.
Who is the favourite to win FC Thun vs FC Luzern?
+
FC Luzern are favourites. Our model gives FC Thun a 23% chance of winning, FC Luzern 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC Thun vs FC Luzern?
+
We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Thun vs FC Luzern kick off?
+
FC Thun vs FC Luzern kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun.
