Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 12
FC Porto
Sporting CP29 Nov
FC Porto vs Sporting CP Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
2.2 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Porto vs Sporting CP tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Porto +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XFC Porto or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sporting CP +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Sporting CP or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 1FC Porto to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Porto -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| 2Sporting CP to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sporting CP -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.20 | - |
FC Porto vs Sporting CP preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Porto host Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 12) on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Porto arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Real Betis 2-3 away. They're 1st in the table with 24 points from 8 games. Sporting CP arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Lens 2-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 18 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Porto have won 1, Sporting CP have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Porto narrow favourites: FC Porto 44%, draw 38%, Sporting CP 18%. We expect around 3.4 goals (2.2 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Porto 2-1 Sporting CP.
Recent form
FC Porto- 14 OctAReal Betis2-3
- 10 OctAMaritimo2-1
- 2 OctADeportivo La Coruna3-1
- 20 SeptHBenfica3-1
- 12 SeptACasa Pia4-1
Sporting CP- 13 OctALens2-0
- 9 OctASC Braga3-1
- 19 SeptHArouca2-2
- 13 SeptAFamalicao1-1
- 9 SeptHGalatasaray3-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
FC Porto vs Sporting CP: FAQ
What is the FC Porto vs Sporting CP prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is FC Porto 2-1 Sporting CP.
Who is the favourite to win FC Porto vs Sporting CP?
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FC Porto are favourites. Our model gives FC Porto a 44% chance of winning, Sporting CP 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Sporting CP?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Porto vs Sporting CP kick off?
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FC Porto vs Sporting CP kicks off at 20:30 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026.
