MLS· Regular Season - 30· TQL Stadium
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew18 Oct
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Columbus Crew or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.8
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Expert analysis
Cincinnati Slump vs Crew Momentum in Hell is Real Derby
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & South America ·
FC Cincinnati are ninth with 36 points but have just one win in their last eight matches. Columbus Crew are 13th with 32 points yet boast four wins in their last five games, making them the most likely side to take points here.
Form & Context
Columbus Crew display superior recent shape compared to FC Cincinnati in this high-stakes playoff derby.
- Columbus Crew have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- FC Cincinnati have just one win in their last eight matches.
- The Hell is Real clash has playoff implications for both clubs.
- Cincinnati hold a 4-point lead over Columbus in the table.
Team News
Absences and questionables could sway key duels, with no confirmed lineups available yet.
- Kévin Denkey is suspended for FC Cincinnati.
- Columbus Crew miss Wessam Abou Ali (ankle) and Mohamed Farsi (pelvis).
- Diego Rossi is questionable for the away side.
- Ender Echenique and Obinna Nwobodo remain questionable for Cincinnati.
Key Matchup & Tactics
Intense pressing and duels will define this rivalry, favoring the side with better momentum.
- Columbus Crew's hot streak gives them the edge in attacking shape.
- FC Cincinnati's form shows inconsistency in creating chances.
- The derby nature heightens physical battles and momentum shifts.
- Both sides have BTTS in all 5 recent games.
The Numbers
Expected goals are nearly even but injuries and form point to the away or draw pick.
- Expected goals are 1.76 for Cincinnati and 1.82 for Columbus Crew.
- Most likely scoreline is 1-2.
- Over 2.5 goals probability at 69% and BTTS at 70%.
- Model gives 37% away win, 27% draw, 64% for Crew or Draw.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Columbus Crew have won 4 of their last 5 matches
- 2FC Cincinnati have just 1 win in their last 8 matches
- 3Columbus Crew are the most likely outcome with strong form
Verdict
Our tip is Columbus Crew or Draw at 1.57 odds. The main risk is the home crowd and playoff desperation for Cincinnati could spark an upset in this tight matchup.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Columbus Crew +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.24 | - |
| AH1 +1.5FC Cincinnati +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 70% | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| 1XFC Cincinnati or Draw | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | - |
| 2Columbus Crew to win | 37% | 2.69 | 2.50 |
| 1FC Cincinnati to win | 36% | 2.80 | 2.30 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 30% | 3.37 | 3.00 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.68 | 3.75 |
| AH2 -1.5Columbus Crew -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.69 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Cincinnati -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 5.13 | - |
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.50 | - | - | 1.35 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.90 | 2.62 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.33 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.88 | 2.64 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.31 | 3.08 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.90 | 2.55 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.97 | 2.68 | 1.37 | 3.07 | - | - |
Recent form
FC Cincinnati- 15 OctHNew England Revolution2-3
- 11 OctAAtlanta United FC3-1
- 27 SeptACF Montreal1-3
- 20 SeptAHouston Dynamo2-2
- 13 SeptHCharlotte3-3
Columbus Crew- 15 OctHCharlotte3-1
- 11 OctAOrlando City SC2-3
- 28 SeptHInter Miami2-1
- 20 SeptACF Montreal2-0
- 17 SeptHOrlando City SC2-1
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 |  DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 24 |
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew: FAQ
What is the FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew prediction?
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Our tip is Columbus Crew or Draw at odds of 1.57. Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 1-2 Columbus Crew.
Who is the favourite to win FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
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Columbus Crew are favourites. Our model gives FC Cincinnati a 36% chance of winning, Columbus Crew 37%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
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We rate both teams to score at 70%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew kick off?
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FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew kicks off at 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at TQL Stadium, Cincinnati.
