J1 League· Regular Season - 15· Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo21 Nov
Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 21 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
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More Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FC Tokyo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Cerezo Osaka +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| X2FC Tokyo or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XCerezo Osaka or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | - |
| 2FC Tokyo to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 1Cerezo Osaka to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FC Tokyo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.93 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cerezo Osaka -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.87 | - |
Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo preview & analysis
Match preview
Cerezo Osaka host FC Tokyo in the J1 League (Regular Season - 15) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium on Saturday, 21 November 2026, with kick-off at 06:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Cerezo Osaka arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Gainare Tottori 3-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 12 points from 9 games. FC Tokyo arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they lost to Mito Hollyhock 0-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 20 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cerezo Osaka have won 1, FC Tokyo have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Tokyo narrow favourites: Cerezo Osaka 23%, draw 38%, FC Tokyo 39%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Cerezo Osaka 0-1 FC Tokyo.
Recent form
Cerezo Osaka- 14 OctAGainare Tottori3-2
- 10 OctHYokohama F. Marinos0-0
- 7 OctHKagoshima United2-0
- 29 SeptAFujieda MYFC2-1
- 19 SeptAV-varen Nagasaki1-1
FC Tokyo- 14 OctAMito Hollyhock0-1
- 10 OctHUrawa3-0
- 7 OctHShonan Bellmare4-0
- 29 SeptAEhime FC2-0
- 19 SeptHNagoya Grampus1-0
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo: FAQ
What is the Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 0-1 FC Tokyo.
Who is the favourite to win Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?
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FC Tokyo are favourites. Our model gives Cerezo Osaka a 23% chance of winning, FC Tokyo 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo kick off?
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Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo kicks off at 06:00 UTC on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka.
