Europa League· League Stage - 4
Celta Vigo
Union St. Gilloise5 Nov
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.64
Expected goals
0.8 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Union St. Gilloise +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| X2Union St. Gilloise or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Celta Vigo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| 1XCelta Vigo or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| 2Union St. Gilloise to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Union St. Gilloise -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.83 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.25 | - |
| 1Celta Vigo to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Celta Vigo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.39 | - |
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise preview & analysis
Match preview
Celta Vigo host Union St. Gilloise in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Celta Vigo arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Juventus 1-2 at home. They're 28th in the table with 0 points from 2 games. Union St. Gilloise arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Real Sociedad 1-1 at home. They're 12th in the table with 4 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Union St. Gilloise narrow favourites: Celta Vigo 17%, draw 41%, Union St. Gilloise 42%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.8 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 39% for over 2.5 and 42% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 61% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Celta Vigo 0-1 Union St. Gilloise.
Recent form
Celta Vigo- 15 OctHJuventus1-2
- 11 OctAElche0-0
- 19 SeptHRacing Santander5-0
- 16 SeptAOmonia Nicosia0-1
- 13 SeptHMalaga1-1
Union St. Gilloise- 15 OctHReal Sociedad1-1
- 11 OctHOH Leuven1-1
- 20 SeptAAntwerp2-0
- 17 SeptAPlzen3-0
- 12 SeptHLommel United5-0
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Sparta Praha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 12 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 27 |  NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 28 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |  Anderlecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: FAQ
What is the Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 0-1 Union St. Gilloise.
Who is the favourite to win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
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Union St. Gilloise are favourites. Our model gives Celta Vigo a 17% chance of winning, Union St. Gilloise 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
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We rate both teams to score at 42%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise kick off?
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Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026.
