Serie A· Regular Season - 13· Unipol Domus
Cagliari
AC Milan29 Nov
Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Cagliari vs AC Milan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Cagliari +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| X2AC Milan or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XCagliari or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | - |
| 2AC Milan to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 1Cagliari to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.93 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cagliari -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.87 | - |
Cagliari vs AC Milan preview & analysis
Match preview
Cagliari host AC Milan in the Serie A (Regular Season - 13) at Unipol Domus on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Cagliari arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Juventus 1-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 13 points from 6 games. AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 away. They're 5th in the table with 12 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cagliari have won 1, AC Milan have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AC Milan narrow favourites: Cagliari 23%, draw 38%, AC Milan 39%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Cagliari 0-1 AC Milan.
Recent form
Cagliari- 11 OctHJuventus1-1
- 19 SeptAUdinese1-0
- 12 SeptAAtalanta2-1
- 7 SeptHLecce1-0
- 3 SeptHHellas Verona1-2
AC Milan- 15 OctARed Bull Salzburg4-0
- 11 OctASassuolo1-1
- 20 SeptHLecce3-0
- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Cagliari vs AC Milan: FAQ
What is the Cagliari vs AC Milan prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Cagliari 0-1 AC Milan.
Who is the favourite to win Cagliari vs AC Milan?
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AC Milan are favourites. Our model gives Cagliari a 23% chance of winning, AC Milan 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs AC Milan?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Cagliari vs AC Milan kick off?
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Cagliari vs AC Milan kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at Unipol Domus, Cagliari.
