Championship· Regular Season - 8· St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham
Middlesbrough2-2
FT
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 19 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Birmingham vs Middlesbrough tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Middlesbrough +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Middlesbrough or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Birmingham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XBirmingham or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2Middlesbrough to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Middlesbrough -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 1Birmingham to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Birmingham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.80 | - |
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough preview & analysis
Match preview
Birmingham host Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 8) at St. Andrew's Stadium on Saturday, 19 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Birmingham arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Derby 2-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 10 games. Middlesbrough arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Millwall 2-2 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 21 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Birmingham have won 0, Middlesbrough have won 6 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Middlesbrough narrow favourites: Birmingham 23%, draw 38%, Middlesbrough 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Birmingham- 12 SeptADerby2-1
- 9 SeptANorwich1-2
- 6 SeptHWolves2-2
Middlesbrough- 15 SeptHMillwall2-2
- 12 SeptHNorwich4-3
- 8 SeptACrystal Palace0-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
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Middlesbrough are favourites. Our model gives Birmingham a 23% chance of winning, Middlesbrough 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Birmingham vs Middlesbrough kick off?
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Birmingham vs Middlesbrough kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham.
