La Liga· Regular Season - 7· Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano1-1
FT
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 19 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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More Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Rayo Vallecano +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Rayo Vallecano or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Osasuna +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XOsasuna or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Rayo Vallecano to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Rayo Vallecano -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Osasuna to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Osasuna -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano preview & analysis
Match preview
Osasuna host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga (Regular Season - 7) at Estadio El Sadar on Saturday, 19 September 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Osasuna are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Atletico Madrid 0-4 away. They're 16th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Rayo Vallecano arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Most recently they beat Espanyol 2-1 at home. They're 13th in the table with 8 points from 7 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Osasuna have won 3, Rayo Vallecano have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Rayo Vallecano narrow favourites: Osasuna 23%, draw 38%, Rayo Vallecano 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Osasuna- 16 SeptAAtletico Madrid0-4
- 12 SeptHEspanyol0-2
- 6 SeptAAlaves2-5
- 31 AugHGetafe1-0
Rayo Vallecano- 15 SeptHEspanyol2-1
- 12 SeptAReal Madrid1-4
- 5 SeptHRacing Santander3-2
- 31 AugABarcelona2-5
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
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Rayo Vallecano are favourites. Our model gives Osasuna a 23% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
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Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano kicks off at 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona.
