Benfica vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Betting Tips

Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off 20:00

Our prediction

Both teams to score

High· 68%

1xBetBet

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

2-1

Fair odds

1.47

Expected goals

2.4 - 1.4

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Match probabilities

44%Benfica

38%Draw

18%Lech Poznan

Over 2.5 goals73%

Under 2.5 goals27%

Both teams to score68%

Clean sheet either side32%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Benfica vs Lech Poznan tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH1 +1.5Benfica +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	91%	1.09	-
1XBenfica or Draw	82%	1.23	-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals	73%	1.37	-
AH2 +1.5Lech Poznan +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	60%	1.66	-
X2Lech Poznan or Draw	56%	1.78	-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	53%	1.90	-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	47%	2.11	-
1Benfica to win	44%	2.28	-
AH1 -1.5Benfica -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	40%	2.52	-
XDraw	38%	2.65	-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	32%	3.13	-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals	27%	3.72	-
2Lech Poznan to win	18%	5.43	-
AH2 -1.5Lech Poznan -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	9%	11.74	-

Benfica vs Lech Poznan preview & analysis

Match preview

Benfica host Lech Poznan in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Benfica arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Celtic 4-1 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 6 points from 2 games. Lech Poznan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 0-4 at home. They're 36th in the table with 0 points from 2 games.

Head to head

In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Benfica have won 2, Lech Poznan have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 5.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Benfica narrow favourites: Benfica 44%, draw 38%, Lech Poznan 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.

Our tip

Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Benfica 2-1 Lech Poznan.