Belgium
France0-1
FT
Belgium vs France Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 28 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Belgium vs France tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5France +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.12 | - |
| X2France or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Belgium +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| 1XBelgium or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.81 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.23 | - |
| 2France to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH2 -1.5France -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.82 | - |
| 1Belgium to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Belgium -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.66 | - |
Belgium vs France preview & analysis
Match preview
Belgium host France in the Nations League (League A - 2) at Roi Baudouin on Monday, 28 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Belgium arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Italy 2-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 6 points from 4 games. France arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Türkiye 1-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 10 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Belgium have won 0, France have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.4 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes France narrow favourites: Belgium 23%, draw 38%, France 39%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Recent form
- 25 SeptAItaly2-0
- 10 JulASpain1-2
- 7 JulAUSA4-1
- 25 SeptATürkiye1-0
- 18 JulHEngland4-6
- 14 JulHSpain0-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Belgium vs France: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Belgium vs France?
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France are favourites. Our model gives Belgium a 23% chance of winning, France 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Belgium vs France?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Belgium vs France kick off?
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Belgium vs France kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Monday, 28 September 2026 at Roi Baudouin, Brussels.