Europa League· League Stage - 4· BayArena
Bayer Leverkusen
Marseille5 Nov
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
2.5 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bayer Leverkusen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XBayer Leverkusen or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| X2Marseille or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 | - |
| 1Bayer Leverkusen to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bayer Leverkusen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.61 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 2Marseille to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 17.99 | - |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille preview & analysis
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host Marseille in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at BayArena on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bayer Leverkusen arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Lech Poznan 4-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 6 points from 2 games. Marseille are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 at home. They're 32nd in the table with 0 points from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Bayer Leverkusen have won 1, Marseille have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen favourites: Bayer Leverkusen 47%, draw 41%, Marseille 12%. We expect around 3.6 goals (2.5 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 70% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Marseille.
Recent form
Bayer Leverkusen- 15 OctALech Poznan4-0
- 10 OctAFSV Mainz 054-3
- 20 SeptHRB Leipzig2-0
- 16 SeptHCelje2-0
- 12 SeptAFC Augsburg2-2
Marseille- 15 OctHOlympiakos Piraeus0-1
- 11 OctAEstac Troyes2-0
- 20 SeptHParis Saint Germain1-2
- 17 SeptABeşiktaş1-4
- 11 SeptARennes0-1
Head to head
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 30 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 |  Plzen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 |  Celtic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Ararat-Armenia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: FAQ
What is the Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Marseille.
Who is the favourite to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
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Bayer Leverkusen are favourites. Our model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 47% chance of winning, Marseille 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille kick off?
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at BayArena, Leverkusen.
