Super Lig· Regular Season - 14· Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe5 Dec
Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.1 - 2.1
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Fenerbahçe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Fenerbahçe or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Başakşehir +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| 1XBaşakşehir or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| 2Fenerbahçe to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fenerbahçe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.84 | - |
| 1Başakşehir to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Başakşehir -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.61 | - |
Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe preview & analysis
Match preview
Başakşehir host Fenerbahçe in the Super Lig (Regular Season - 14) at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Başakşehir arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Konyaspor 0-0 away. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 7 games. Fenerbahçe arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Aston Villa 0-6 away. They're 4th in the table with 13 points from 7 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Başakşehir have won 0, Fenerbahçe have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fenerbahçe narrow favourites: Başakşehir 17%, draw 41%, Fenerbahçe 42%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.1 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Başakşehir 1-2 Fenerbahçe.
Recent form
Başakşehir- 11 OctAKonyaspor0-0
- 19 SeptHGençlerbirliği S.K.4-0
- 13 SeptAAmed0-5
- 4 SeptHGalatasaray2-3
- 30 AugHKasımpaşa1-1
Fenerbahçe- 14 OctAAston Villa0-6
- 10 OctARizespor3-0
- 3 OctATuran2-0
- 20 SeptHEyüpspor8-0
- 14 SeptAGaziantep FK0-0
Head to head
Super Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Amed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 |  Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 |  Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -18 | 3 |
Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe: FAQ
What is the Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Başakşehir 1-2 Fenerbahçe.
Who is the favourite to win Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe?
+
Fenerbahçe are favourites. Our model gives Başakşehir a 17% chance of winning, Fenerbahçe 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe?
+
We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe kick off?
+
Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul.
