Conference League· Quarter-finals· AFAS Stadion
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk2-2
FT
AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 16 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Shakhtar Donetsk +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5AZ Alkmaar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XAZ Alkmaar or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| 2Shakhtar Donetsk to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Shakhtar Donetsk -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.94 | - |
| 1AZ Alkmaar to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AZ Alkmaar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.88 | - |
AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview & analysis
Match preview
AZ Alkmaar host Shakhtar Donetsk in the Conference League (Quarter-finals) at AFAS Stadion on Thursday, 16 April 2026, with kick-off at 16:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, AZ Alkmaar have won 0, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Shakhtar Donetsk narrow favourites: AZ Alkmaar 23%, draw 38%, Shakhtar Donetsk 39%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.1 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 12 |  Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
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Shakhtar Donetsk are favourites. Our model gives AZ Alkmaar a 23% chance of winning, Shakhtar Donetsk 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk kick off?
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AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk kicks off at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 16 April 2026 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
