Brasileirão· Regular Season - 14· Arena da Baixada
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio0-0
FT
Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 3 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atletico Paranaense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Gremio +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XAtletico Paranaense or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Gremio or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1Atletico Paranaense to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 37% | 2.68 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Gremio to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico Paranaense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.70 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.98 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gremio -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.82 | - |
Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico Paranaense host Gremio in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 14) at Arena da Baixada on Sunday, 3 May 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico Paranaense have won 3, Gremio have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Paranaense narrow favourites: Atletico Paranaense 38%, draw 32%, Gremio 30%. We expect around 1.9 goals (1.0 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 30% for over 2.5 and 37% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?
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Atletico Paranaense are favourites. Our model gives Atletico Paranaense a 38% chance of winning, Gremio 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?
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We rate both teams to score at 37%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio kick off?
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Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 3 May 2026 at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba.
