Brasileirão· Regular Season - 16· Arena da Baixada
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo1-1
FT
Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 17 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Atletico Paranaense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| X2Flamengo or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XAtletico Paranaense or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Flamengo to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Atletico Paranaense to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico Paranaense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.44 | - |
Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico Paranaense host Flamengo in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 16) at Arena da Baixada on Sunday, 17 May 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico Paranaense have won 2, Flamengo have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo narrow favourites: Atletico Paranaense 23%, draw 38%, Flamengo 39%. We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?
+
Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Atletico Paranaense a 23% chance of winning, Flamengo 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo kick off?
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Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba.
