La Liga· Regular Season - 4· San Mamés Stadium
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid3-0
FT
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Atletico Madrid or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Athletic Club +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| 1XAthletic Club or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| 2Atletico Madrid to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 2.99 | - |
| 1Athletic Club to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Athletic Club -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.98 | - |
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid preview & analysis
Match preview
Athletic Club host Atletico Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 4) at San Mamés Stadium on Saturday, 5 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Athletic Club arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Celta Vigo 2-0 away. They're 10th in the table with 8 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Athletic Club have won 2, Atletico Madrid have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Madrid narrow favourites: Athletic Club 17%, draw 41%, Atletico Madrid 42%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.1 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Athletic Club- 30 AugACelta Vigo2-0
Atletico MadridHead to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?
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Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Athletic Club a 17% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
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Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid kicks off at 14:15 UTC on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao.
