Premier League· Regular Season - 3· St. James' Park
Newcastle
Bournemouth2-2
FT
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Newcastle vs Bournemouth tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Newcastle +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XNewcastle or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bournemouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| X2Bournemouth or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 52% | 1.92 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 48% | 2.09 | - |
| 1Newcastle to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Newcastle -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.22 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 2Bournemouth to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bournemouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.47 | - |
Newcastle vs Bournemouth preview & analysis
Match preview
Newcastle host Bournemouth in the Premier League (Regular Season - 3) at St. James' Park on Saturday, 5 September 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Newcastle arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Tottenham 2-0 away. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Newcastle have won 0, Bournemouth have won 2 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Newcastle narrow favourites: Newcastle 44%, draw 38%, Bournemouth 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 52% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Newcastle- 29 AugATottenham2-0
BournemouthHead to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Newcastle vs Bournemouth: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
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Newcastle are favourites. Our model gives Newcastle a 44% chance of winning, Bournemouth 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
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We rate both teams to score at 52%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Newcastle vs Bournemouth kick off?
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Newcastle vs Bournemouth kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at St. James' Park, Newcastle.
