La Liga 2· Regular Season - 40· UD Almeria Stadium
Almeria
Las Palmas1-2
FT
Almeria vs Las Palmas Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Almeria vs Las Palmas tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Almeria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XAlmeria or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Las Palmas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Las Palmas or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Almeria to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Almeria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Las Palmas to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Las Palmas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
Almeria vs Las Palmas preview & analysis
Match preview
Almeria host Las Palmas in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 40) at UD Almeria Stadium on Saturday, 16 May 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Almeria have won 2, Las Palmas have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Almeria narrow favourites: Almeria 44%, draw 38%, Las Palmas 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | +29 | 82 |
| 2 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | +21 | 77 |
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | +18 | 74 |
| 4 |  Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | +23 | 73 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | +17 | 73 |
| 6 |  Castellón | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | +19 | 72 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 72 |
Almeria vs Las Palmas: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Almeria vs Las Palmas?
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Almeria are favourites. Our model gives Almeria a 44% chance of winning, Las Palmas 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Almeria vs Las Palmas?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Almeria vs Las Palmas kick off?
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Almeria vs Las Palmas kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at UD Almeria Stadium, Almeria.
