La Liga 2· Regular Season - 40· Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga1-4
FT
AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AD Ceuta FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Malaga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| 1XAD Ceuta FC or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| X2Malaga or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.50 | - |
| 1AD Ceuta FC to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Malaga to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AD Ceuta FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Malaga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.84 | - |
AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga preview & analysis
Match preview
AD Ceuta FC host Malaga in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 40) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube on Saturday, 16 May 2026, with kick-off at 14:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, AD Ceuta FC have won 1, Malaga have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AD Ceuta FC narrow favourites: AD Ceuta FC 38%, draw 32%, Malaga 30%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | +29 | 82 |
| 2 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | +21 | 77 |
| 3 |  Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | +18 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | +23 | 73 |
| 5 |  Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | +17 | 73 |
| 6 |  Castellón | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | +19 | 72 |
| 9 |  Sporting Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | +6 | 61 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | -4 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | -12 | 61 |
| 12 |  Albacete | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | +1 | 59 |
| 13 |  FC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | +8 | 58 |
AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?
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AD Ceuta FC are favourites. Our model gives AD Ceuta FC a 38% chance of winning, Malaga 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga kick off?
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AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga kicks off at 14:15 UTC on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta.
