Bundesliga· Regular Season - 34· BayArena
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV1-1
FT
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bayer Leverkusen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBayer Leverkusen or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Hamburger SV +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Hamburger SV or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 1Bayer Leverkusen to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bayer Leverkusen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| 2Hamburger SV to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Hamburger SV -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.07 | - |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV preview & analysis
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 34) at BayArena on Saturday, 16 May 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bayer Leverkusen have won 5, Hamburger SV have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen narrow favourites: Bayer Leverkusen 44%, draw 38%, Hamburger SV 18%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 73 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 65 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 62 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 43 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 38 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
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Bayer Leverkusen are favourites. Our model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 44% chance of winning, Hamburger SV 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV kick off?
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at BayArena, Leverkusen.