Copa del Rey· Round of 128
Alcazar
Malaga27 Oct
Alcazar vs Malaga Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Alcazar vs Malaga tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Alcazar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Malaga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| 1XAlcazar or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Malaga or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.87 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.15 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 1Alcazar to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Malaga to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Alcazar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 6.04 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Malaga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.63 | - |
Alcazar vs Malaga preview & analysis
Match preview
Alcazar host Malaga in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Alcazar arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Talayuela 1-0 at home. Malaga arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Espanyol 1-1 at home.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Alcazar narrow favourites: Alcazar 37%, draw 31%, Malaga 32%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Alcazar 1-0 Malaga.
Recent form
Alcazar- 4 OctHTalayuela1-0
- 27 SeptATalayuela2-1
Malaga- 9 OctHEspanyol1-1
- 20 SeptAGetafe0-1
- 17 SeptHVillarreal1-3
- 13 SeptACelta Vigo1-1
- 6 SeptHLevante0-0
Alcazar vs Malaga: FAQ
What is the Alcazar vs Malaga prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Alcazar 1-0 Malaga.
Who is the favourite to win Alcazar vs Malaga?
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Alcazar are favourites. Our model gives Alcazar a 37% chance of winning, Malaga 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Alcazar vs Malaga?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Alcazar vs Malaga kick off?
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Alcazar vs Malaga kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
