Copa del Rey· Round of 128
Castellonense
Almeria27 Oct
Castellonense vs Almeria Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Castellonense vs Almeria tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Castellonense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Almeria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XCastellonense or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Almeria or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Castellonense to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Almeria to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Castellonense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Almeria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Castellonense vs Almeria preview & analysis
Match preview
Castellonense host Almeria in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Castellonense arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Deportiva Minera 2-3 away. Almeria arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Leganes 3-0 at home.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Castellonense narrow favourites: Castellonense 37%, draw 31%, Almeria 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Castellonense 1-0 Almeria.
Recent form
Castellonense- 11 OctADeportiva Minera2-3
- 4 OctHReal Murcia II3-0
- 27 SeptALorca Deportiva0-1
- 19 SeptHCieza1-0
- 13 SeptAPoblense2-1
Almeria- 11 OctHLeganes3-0
- 3 OctHBurgos2-1
- 27 SeptAMallorca1-0
- 20 SeptHCelta de Vigo II2-0
- 12 SeptACordoba2-0
Castellonense vs Almeria: FAQ
What is the Castellonense vs Almeria prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Castellonense 1-0 Almeria.
Who is the favourite to win Castellonense vs Almeria?
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Castellonense are favourites. Our model gives Castellonense a 37% chance of winning, Almeria 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Castellonense vs Almeria?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Castellonense vs Almeria kick off?
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Castellonense vs Almeria kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
