Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 9· Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Al Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC16 Oct
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 16 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-2
Fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
0.8 - 2.8
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Expert analysis
Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal: Both Teams NOT to Score at 1.74
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Al Hilal sit top of the Saudi Pro League while Al Riyadh have managed just 4 goals in their last five, and the goal numbers point to a low-scoring home night. Our pick is both teams NOT to score at 1.74.
Form & Context
Al Hilal's recent form line is the strongest thing about this fixture.
- Al Hilal's last five: 4W 0D 1L, scoring 13 and conceding 5.
- Al Riyadh's last five: 2W 2D 1L, scoring only 4 and conceding 6.
- Al Riyadh have seen BTTS in 1 of 5; Al Hilal in 2 of 5.
- Table: Al Hilal are 1st with 21 points from 8, Al Riyadh 11th with 9.
- The most recent meeting between them finished 1-1 in January.
Fixture Switch
This game has been moved, so team news deserves caution.
- The Saudi Pro League rescheduled the fixture from 16 October to Saturday 19 December 2026.
- The league cited minimum rest periods and logistical and operational requirements.
- No confirmed Al Riyadh injury or suspension could be verified from current sources.
- Al Hilal's last official XI, for the 10 October Al Ittihad win, is historical rather than a projection for December.
- Before that Al Ittihad match, Simone Inzaghi said the readiness of Al-Dawsari, Theo Hernandez and Savic would be assessed in the final training session, according to Al Hilal's official site.
The Numbers
The goal models lean towards a one-sided, low-scoring home night.
- Expected goals: Al Riyadh 0.79, Al Hilal 2.81.
- The most likely score is 0-2.
- Both teams to score is rated at 46%, against 54% for our pick.
- Al Riyadh's recent home games read 2-0, 1-0 and 0-0.
- Best price on our pick is 1.74, with a fair line of 1.87.
Key Matchup
Al Riyadh's route to a goal looks narrow against this defence.
- They scored in only some of their recent outings and lean on late moments, with Trezeguet netting in the 92nd minute at Al Fayha.
- Two of the last five head-to-heads ended 1-1, showing the home side can find one goal.
- Al Hilal's away day at Al Sadd finished 2-0 to them, with a clean sheet.
- The visitors have the far bigger attacking upside, so the risk sits with the home side scoring at all.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Al Riyadh have scored only 4 goals in their last five and have BTTS in just 1 of those 5.
- 2Al Hilal's expected goals of 2.81 and the 0-2 most likely score point to a clean-sheet away win.
- 3Both teams to score is rated at 46%, below the 54% for our pick.
Verdict
Our call is both teams NOT to score at the best available odds of 1.74, landing on the most probable outcome rather than a generous price. The main risk is Al Riyadh nicking a goal at home, exactly what happened in that 1-1 draw in January.
Sources
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Al-Hilal Saudi FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| X2Al-Hilal Saudi FC or Draw | 95% | 1.06 | 1.02 |
| 2Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win | 77% | 1.30 | 1.11 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | 1.30 |
| AH2 -1.5Al-Hilal Saudi FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 59% | 1.70 | 1.41 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 46% | 2.16 | 2.05 |
| AH1 +1.5Al Riyadh +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 41% | 2.43 | 2.52 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 | 2.97 |
| 1XAl Riyadh or Draw | 23% | 4.39 | 6.00 |
| XDraw | 17% | 5.74 | 8.00 |
| 1Al Riyadh to win | 5% | 18.60 | 15.00 |
| AH1 -1.5Al Riyadh -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.25 | - |
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 15.00 | 8.00 | 1.11 | - | - | 2.05 | 1.67 |
| 1xBet | 18.00 | 9.55 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 2.97 | 1.95 | 1.74 |
| Bet365 | 15.00 | 7.00 | 1.14 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 14.50 | 7.60 | 1.09 | 1.30 | 2.97 | 1.95 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 18.00 | 8.50 | 1.12 | 1.36 | 3.10 | - | - |
| Pinnacle | 13.97 | 9.95 | 1.11 | 1.32 | 3.19 | - | - |
| SBO | 9.64 | 6.18 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 15.50 | 7.40 | 1.18 | 1.38 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
Recent form
Al Riyadh- 11 OctAAl-Fayha1-1
- 13 SeptHAl Kholood2-0
- 7 SeptAAl Khaleej Saihat0-0
- 4 SeptAAl-Ahli Jeddah0-5
- 28 AugHNEOM1-0
Al-Hilal Saudi FC- 13 OctAAl Sadd2-0
- 10 OctHAl-Ittihad FC3-2
- 15 SeptHAl-Gharafa2-1
- 12 SeptAAl Taawon6-0
- 7 SeptHNEOM0-2
Head to head
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: FAQ
What is the Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams NOT to score at odds of 1.74. Our predicted score is Al Riyadh 0-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
Who is the favourite to win Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
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Al-Hilal Saudi FC are favourites. Our model gives Al Riyadh a 5% chance of winning, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 77%, and the draw 17%.
Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 46%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC kick off?
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Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh.
