Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 9· Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Abha16 Oct
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 16 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.92
Expected goals
3.0 - 0.8
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Expert analysis
Al-Qadisiyah vs Abha: the case for one quiet net
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Al-Qadisiyah sit second and Abha are bottom, and the goal model points to a one-sided night in the Pro League. The pick is both teams NOT to score at 1.75, a strong-probability angle rather than a big price.
Form and table
Al-Qadisiyah are the clear stronger side and Abha are still chasing a first league win.
- Al-Qadisiyah sit 2nd of 18 with 19 points from 8; Abha are 18th of 18 with 2 points from 7.
- Across their last five, Al-Qadisiyah are 3W 2D 0L, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
- Abha's last five read 0W 2D 3L, with just 4 scored.
- Manager Brendan Rodgers told Akhbaar24, translated from Arabic, that his squad have "hunger and desire".
Team news
Kickoff is a day away and neither club has confirmed its line-up.
- No official Al-Qadisiyah or Abha announcement on injuries, suspensions or starting XIs has been located.
- A preview reports midfielder Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa out with a thigh injury, but this is not corroborated officially.
- Projected line-ups published by Poznavach are not confirmed by either club.
- Abha's home match with Al-Faisaly was postponed to 27 October, per the Saudi Pro League.
Goal expectation
The numbers lean heavily one way.
- Expected goals: 2.89 for Al-Qadisiyah, 0.81 for Abha.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
- The model puts BTTS at 47%, leaving the no-BTTS side the majority outcome.
- Al-Qadisiyah's five games brought BTTS in 4; Abha's brought BTTS in 3.
The bet
The recommendation is both teams NOT to score at 1.75.
- Our probability for this outcome is 53%, with fair odds of 1.89.
- That makes it a strong-probability pick rather than a big-value price.
- Abha's 4 goals in 5 games and 0.81 expected goals are the core of the case.
- Main risk: Al-Qadisiyah's games have produced BTTS in 4 of 5, Abha's in 3 of 5, so one away goal flips it.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Abha have scored only 4 goals in 5 games and carry a 0.81 expected-goals figure.
- 2Al-Qadisiyah's most likely scoreline is 2-0, with the away side kept out.
- 3The model makes BTTS the minority outcome at 47%.
Verdict
The tip is both teams NOT to score at 1.75, the best price available. The model's most likely scoreline, 2-0, fits the angle, with Abha grabbing a goal the clear danger.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Al-Qadisiyah FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XAl-Qadisiyah FC or Draw | 94% | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| 1Al-Qadisiyah FC to win | 78% | 1.28 | 1.14 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| AH1 -1.5Al-Qadisiyah FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 61% | 1.63 | 1.34 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | 1.70 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 48% | 2.09 | 1.91 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 | 2.07 |
| AH2 +1.5Abha +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 39% | 2.58 | 2.78 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.75 | 3.48 |
| X2Abha or Draw | 22% | 4.54 | 6.00 |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.32 | 8.80 |
| 2Abha to win | 6% | 16.11 | 16.00 |
| AH2 -1.5Abha -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.73 | - |
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.10 | 8.50 | 15.00 | - | - | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.07 | 11.30 | 23.00 | 1.22 | 3.48 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.14 | 8.80 | 16.00 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 8.60 | 17.50 | 1.22 | 3.48 | 1.89 | 1.77 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 9.50 | 18.00 | 1.29 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.87 |
| BetVictor | 1.10 | 8.00 | 17.00 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12 | 9.85 | 18.72 | 1.27 | 3.85 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.12 | 7.34 | 12.04 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.14 | 8.00 | 19.50 | 1.31 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
Recent form
Al-Qadisiyah FC- 12 OctAPakhtakor1-1
- 9 OctAAl Kholood5-0
- 14 SeptHAl-Wasl FC2-1
- 11 SeptHAl-Ettifaq3-3
- 8 SeptHAl-Ahli Jeddah3-2
Abha- 13 SeptAAl Diriyah0-0
- 9 SeptAAl-Nassr1-2
- 4 SeptHAl-Ettifaq0-1
- 28 AugAAl-Fayha2-3
- 25 AugHAl Khaleej Saihat1-1
Head to head
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha: FAQ
What is the Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams NOT to score at odds of 1.80. Our predicted score is Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-0 Abha.
Who is the favourite to win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha?
+
Al-Qadisiyah FC are favourites. Our model gives Al-Qadisiyah FC a 78% chance of winning, Abha 6%, and the draw 16%.
Will both teams score in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha?
+
We rate both teams to score at 48%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha kick off?
+
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha kicks off at 13:15 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium, Daman.
