Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 9· Alinma Stadium
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Nassr0-0
FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.7
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 1How many goals?
Votes: 1Expert analysis
Al-Ahli vs Al-Nassr: both teams to score is the sensible call at 1.5
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Two of the Pro League's better attacking sides meet with goals a constant in their recent games, and the model makes both teams scoring the single most likely outcome. The fixture has been rescheduled by the league, so this is a form-and-numbers read rather than a team-news one.
Form and context
Both sides arrive off wins in Asia and sit comfortably in the top half.
- Al-Ahli's last five: 3W 1D 1L, 12 scored, 5 conceded, BTTS in 4 of 5.
- Al-Nassr's last five: 3W 1D 1L, 9 scored, 7 conceded, BTTS in 3 of 5.
- Al-Nassr are 3rd on 19 points from 8 games; Al-Ahli are 6th on 15.
- Each side has gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their 5 recent matches.
- Reuters reported Ronaldo scoring as Al-Nassr beat Neftchi 3-1; Al-Ahli beat Al-Wasl 3-1.
Rescheduled fixture
The league has moved this game, so treat all October team news as background only.
- The Saudi Pro League announced on 13 October that this fixture was rescheduled to 6 March 2027.
- Sports Mole reported Al-Ahli's Zakaria Hawsawi out with a cruciate ligament injury and Saleh Abu Al-Shamat a major doubt.
- Sports Mole also reported Al-Nassr's Sultan Al-Ghannam and Salem Al-Najdi sidelined at that time.
- Those notes and the projected line-ups applied to the October date and are not reliable for March.
- No confirmed suspensions were established in the sources reviewed, so no line-up prediction here.
Goals outlook
The numbers point to an open contest rather than a cagey one.
- Expected goals read Al-Ahli 1.43, Al-Nassr 1.66.
- The model gives both teams to score 62% and over 2.5 goals 60%, with 1-2 the most likely scoreline.
- Recent head to heads: 2-0, 3-2, 2-2, 2-3, 1-1, so clean sheets have been rare in this fixture.
- Both back lines have leaked: Al-Ahli conceded 5 across five games, Al-Nassr 7.
- Al-Nassr's 0-4 loss at Al Ain shows they can be opened up, while Al-Ahli shipped two at Mamelodi Sundowns.
The pick
Both teams to score at 1.5 is the recommendation, a high-probability call rather than a big price.
- The model rates it at 62% with a fair price of 1.61, so 1.5 is short but reasonable for the most likely outcome.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Al-Ahli's last five and 3 of Al-Nassr's.
- Risk: one flat attacking night or an early red card kills it, and at 1.5 there is little cushion.
- The rescheduling means this is built on form and numbers, not confirmed line-ups.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Both teams scored in 4 of Al-Ahli's last five and 3 of Al-Nassr's, with over 2.5 landing in 4 of 5 for each.
- 2Expected goals of 1.43 and 1.66 split the scoring threat, and the model calls both teams scoring the most likely single outcome at 62%.
- 3Recent head to heads have been consistently high-scoring, with clean sheets rare between these two.
Verdict
Both teams to score is the pick, available at best odds of 1.5. It is a short price for the most probable result rather than a value play, so stake accordingly.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Al-Nassr +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| AH1 +1.5Al-Ahli Jeddah +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| X2Al-Nassr or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | 1.33 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.46 |
| 1XAl-Ahli Jeddah or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | 1.68 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.47 | 2.29 |
| 2Al-Nassr to win | 39% | 2.54 | 2.11 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 | 2.38 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.63 | 2.45 |
| 1Al-Ahli Jeddah to win | 32% | 3.08 | 3.20 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.55 | 3.80 |
| AH2 -1.5Al-Nassr -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.48 | 3.72 |
| AH1 -1.5Al-Ahli Jeddah -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.62 | 6.25 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.05 | - | - | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| 1xBet | 3.08 | 3.74 | 2.09 | 1.58 | 2.29 | 1.48 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.11 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.95 | 3.58 | 2.00 | 1.55 | 2.24 | 1.48 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.50 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.56 | 2.23 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 3.07 | 3.74 | 2.11 | 1.58 | 2.33 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.89 | 3.28 | 1.92 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.85 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.52 | 2.42 |
Recent form
Al-Ahli Jeddah- 12 OctAAl-Wasl FC3-1
- 9 OctAAl-Fateh4-0
- 19 SeptAMamelodi Sundowns1-2
- 14 SeptHPakhtakor1-1
- 11 SeptHAl-Hazm3-1
Al-Nassr- 12 OctHNeftchi3-1
- 9 OctHAl Diriyah3-0
- 15 SeptAAl Ain0-4
- 12 SeptAAl Khaleej Saihat1-1
- 9 SeptHAbha2-1
Head to head
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr: FAQ
What is the Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.50. Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-2 Al-Nassr.
Who is the favourite to win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
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Al-Nassr are favourites. Our model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a 32% chance of winning, Al-Nassr 39%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr kick off?
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Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Alinma Stadium, Jeddah.
