Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 9· Al Hazm Club Stadium
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh2-3
FT
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.2
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Expert analysis
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh: home side the percentage play
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Al-Hazm sit 10th and host a winless Al-Fateh who have shipped 10 goals across their last five league games. Our pick is Al-Hazm or Draw at 1.45, a strong-probability selection rather than a big price.
Form and Context
Al-Hazm arrive in clearly better shape than their visitors.
- Al-Hazm are 10th of 18 with 9 points from 8; Al-Fateh sit 16th with 3 from 8.
- Last five for the hosts: 1W 3D 1L, 4 scored, 5 conceded.
- Last five for Al-Fateh: 0W 2D 3L, 3 scored, 10 conceded.
- The last two head-to-head meetings ended 1-1 and 0-0.
Team News
Neither club has confirmed a starting XI or an injury list for this one.
- No confirmed injury or suspension news was found in either club's official pre-match material.
- Al-Fateh confirmed the squad finished training on October 14 and travelled to Ar-Rass.
- Jamal Sellami took over on October 8, so this is only his second league game in charge.
- Sellami said: "We are going through a difficult phase that requires a lot of work," as reported by Al Jazeera Net.
- Al-Hazm boss Jalel Kadri praised his side's defensive discipline after the NEOM draw, according to the club's website.
Key Numbers
The model expects a close contest with a home lean.
- Expected goals read Al-Hazm 1.57, Al-Fateh 1.35, with the most likely score 2-1.
- The model split is home 39%, draw 29%, away 32%.
- Al-Fateh's last five produced over 2.5 in 3, Al-Hazm's in just 1.
The Bet
Al-Hazm or Draw at 1.45 is the most likely outcome here rather than a big-value price.
- The model puts this selection at 68%, against a fair price of 1.47.
- Al-Fateh are without a league win in eight and have managed four league goals.
- Main risk: Al-Fateh have drawn twice in their last five, including 0-0 with Al-Ittihad, so a tight away point is live.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Al-Hazm are well clear of Al-Fateh in the table and in recent form.
- 2Al-Fateh are winless in eight league games and conceded 10 goals in their last five.
- 3The last two meetings both ended level, so the draw leg covers a tight, low-scoring night.
Verdict
Our pick is Al-Hazm or Draw at best odds of 1.45. It is a percentage call built on Al-Fateh's winless run and shaky defence, not a value price.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Al-Hazm +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| AH2 +1.5Al-Fateh +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.36 | 1.17 |
| 1XAl-Hazm or Draw | 72% | 1.39 | 1.36 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.39 |
| X2Al-Fateh or Draw | 57% | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.68 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | 2.10 |
| 1Al-Hazm to win | 43% | 2.31 | 2.19 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.44 | 2.27 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.89 | 2.59 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.47 | 3.70 |
| 2Al-Fateh to win | 28% | 3.59 | 3.15 |
| AH1 -1.5Al-Hazm -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.80 | 3.95 |
| AH2 -1.5Al-Fateh -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.08 | 5.90 |
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.40 | 2.88 | - | - | 1.55 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.60 | 2.98 | 1.68 | 2.10 | 1.55 | 2.27 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.70 | 3.15 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.60 | 2.88 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.44 | 2.85 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.55 | 2.23 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.00 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.82 | 3.05 | 1.70 | 2.18 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.18 | 2.85 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.05 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Recent form
Al-Hazm- 10 OctHNEOM1-1
- 11 SeptAAl-Ahli Jeddah1-3
- 8 SeptHAl Taawon1-0
- 5 SeptAAl-Faisaly FC0-0
- 30 AugHAl Shabab1-1
Al-Fateh- 9 OctHAl-Ahli Jeddah0-4
- 13 SeptANEOM2-4
- 9 SeptHAl Diriyah1-2
- 5 SeptAAl Taawon0-0
- 29 AugHAl-Ittihad FC0-0
Head to head
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Al-Fayha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh: FAQ
What is the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.55. Our predicted score is Al-Hazm 2-1 Al-Fateh.
Who is the favourite to win Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?
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Al-Hazm are favourites. Our model gives Al-Hazm a 43% chance of winning, Al-Fateh 28%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh kick off?
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Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh kicks off at 15:15 UTC on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar Rass.
