Eredivisie· Regular Season - 3· Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax
Willem II5-1
FT
Ajax vs Willem II Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Ajax vs Willem II tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Ajax +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XAjax or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| X2Willem II or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Willem II +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Ajax -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Ajax to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Willem II to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Willem II -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 17.81 | - |
Ajax vs Willem II preview & analysis
Match preview
Ajax host Willem II in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 3) at Johan Cruijff Arena on Tuesday, 15 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Ajax arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Fortuna Sittard 5-1 away. They're 5th in the table with 15 points from 8 games. Willem II arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with AZ Alkmaar 1-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 2 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Ajax have won 5, Willem II have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ajax favourites: Ajax 47%, draw 41%, Willem II 12%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.6 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Ajax- 12 SeptAFortuna Sittard5-1
- 5 SeptHPSV Eindhoven1-3
- 30 AugATelstar4-0
Willem II- 11 SeptAAZ Alkmaar1-1
- 5 SeptHExcelsior0-3
- 30 AugHHeerenveen2-2
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Ajax vs Willem II: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Ajax vs Willem II?
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Ajax are favourites. Our model gives Ajax a 47% chance of winning, Willem II 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Willem II?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Ajax vs Willem II kick off?
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Ajax vs Willem II kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
