La Liga· Regular Season - 6· Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Valencia0-1
FT
Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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More Alaves vs Valencia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Alaves +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAlaves or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Valencia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Valencia or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.96 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1Alaves to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Alaves -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Valencia to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Valencia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
Alaves vs Valencia preview & analysis
Match preview
Alaves host Valencia in the La Liga (Regular Season - 6) at Estadio Mendizorrotza on Tuesday, 15 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Alaves arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Racing Santander 1-2 away. They're 7th in the table with 11 points from 8 games. Valencia are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Sevilla 0-1 away. They're 19th in the table with 5 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Alaves have won 3, Valencia have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Alaves narrow favourites: Alaves 44%, draw 38%, Valencia 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Alaves- 12 SeptARacing Santander1-2
- 6 SeptHOsasuna5-2
- 28 AugHVillarreal1-0
Valencia- 11 SeptASevilla0-1
- 6 SeptHBarcelona0-5
- 30 AugADeportivo La Coruna1-3
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Alaves vs Valencia: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Alaves vs Valencia?
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Alaves are favourites. Our model gives Alaves a 44% chance of winning, Valencia 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Alaves vs Valencia?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Alaves vs Valencia kick off?
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Alaves vs Valencia kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz.