La Liga· Regular Season - 6· Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Elche
Real Madrid2-3
FT
Elche vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 · Kick-off
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Elche vs Real Madrid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Real Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Real Madrid or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Elche +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| 1XElche or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| 2Real Madrid to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 39% | 2.56 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 1Elche to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Elche -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.94 | - |
Elche vs Real Madrid preview & analysis
Match preview
Elche host Real Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 6) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero on Tuesday, 15 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Elche arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Athletic Club 1-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 6 points from 8 games. Real Madrid arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Rayo Vallecano 4-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 18 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Elche have won 0, Real Madrid have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Real Madrid narrow favourites: Elche 17%, draw 41%, Real Madrid 42%. We expect around 3.7 goals (1.3 - 2.4 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 67% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Elche- 12 SeptAAthletic Club1-1
- 7 SeptHReal Sociedad2-3
- 28 AugARacing Santander2-3
Real Madrid- 12 SeptHRayo Vallecano4-1
- 8 SeptHInter2-1
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Elche vs Real Madrid: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Elche vs Real Madrid?
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Real Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Elche a 17% chance of winning, Real Madrid 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Elche vs Real Madrid?
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We rate both teams to score at 67%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Elche vs Real Madrid kick off?
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Elche vs Real Madrid kicks off at 19:30 UTC on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche.