Europa League· League Stage - 6
AC Milan
Sunderland10 Dec
AC Milan vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 10 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AC Milan vs Sunderland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Sunderland or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XAC Milan or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Sunderland to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1AC Milan to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
AC Milan vs Sunderland preview & analysis
Match preview
AC Milan host Sunderland in the Europa League (League Stage - 6) on Thursday, 10 December 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 away. They're 16th in the table with 3 points from 2 games. Sunderland are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Torreense 2-1 away. They're 9th in the table with 6 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sunderland narrow favourites: AC Milan 23%, draw 38%, Sunderland 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AC Milan 0-1 Sunderland.
Recent form
AC Milan- 15 OctARed Bull Salzburg4-0
- 11 OctASassuolo1-1
- 20 SeptHLecce3-0
- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
Sunderland- 15 OctATorreense2-1
- 10 OctHBrighton0-2
- 20 SeptAManchester City3-5
- 16 SeptHAZ Alkmaar1-0
- 12 SeptHArsenal0-2
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Sparta Praha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 |  OFI | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
AC Milan vs Sunderland: FAQ
What is the AC Milan vs Sunderland prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is AC Milan 0-1 Sunderland.
Who is the favourite to win AC Milan vs Sunderland?
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Sunderland are favourites. Our model gives AC Milan a 23% chance of winning, Sunderland 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Sunderland?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does AC Milan vs Sunderland kick off?
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AC Milan vs Sunderland kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 10 December 2026.
