York
Port Vale24 Oct
York vs Port Vale Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
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More York vs Port Vale tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5York +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XYork or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Port Vale +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Port Vale or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1York to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5York -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Port Vale to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Port Vale -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
York vs Port Vale preview & analysis
Match preview
York host Port Vale in the League Two (Regular Season - 13) at York Community Stadium on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
York arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Northampton 1-1 at home. They're 5th in the table with 15 points from 9 games. Port Vale arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Grimsby 1-0 at home. They're 22nd in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, York have won 0, Port Vale have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes York narrow favourites: York 44%, draw 38%, Port Vale 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is York 1-0 Port Vale.
Recent form
- 10 OctHNorthampton1-1
- 26 SeptHGillingham3-0
- 22 SeptHRotherham1-1
- 19 SeptAChesterfield0-2
- 15 SeptHNewcastle United U211-3
- 10 OctHGrimsby1-0
- 6 OctHMansfield Town2-0
- 22 SeptAChesterfield1-1
- 19 SeptAWalsall0-2
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 | |
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 | |
| 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
York vs Port Vale: FAQ
What is the York vs Port Vale prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is York 1-0 Port Vale.
Who is the favourite to win York vs Port Vale?
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York are favourites. Our model gives York a 44% chance of winning, Port Vale 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in York vs Port Vale?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does York vs Port Vale kick off?
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York vs Port Vale kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at York Community Stadium, York.