Championship· Regular Season - 5· London Stadium
West Ham
Derby3-0
FT
West Ham vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More West Ham vs Derby tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5West Ham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XWest Ham or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.59 | - |
| X2Derby or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| 1West Ham to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5West Ham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.70 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| 2Derby to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.13 | - |
West Ham vs Derby preview & analysis
Match preview
West Ham host Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 5) at London Stadium on Saturday, 5 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, West Ham have won 2, Derby have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes West Ham narrow favourites: West Ham 44%, draw 38%, Derby 18%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 67% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 | West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
West Ham vs Derby: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win West Ham vs Derby?
+
West Ham are favourites. Our model gives West Ham a 44% chance of winning, Derby 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in West Ham vs Derby?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does West Ham vs Derby kick off?
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West Ham vs Derby kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at London Stadium, London.
