Championship· Regular Season - 7· Vicarage Road
Watford
Stoke City1-2
FT
Watford vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Watford vs Stoke City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Watford +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XWatford or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Stoke City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Stoke City or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Watford to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Watford -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Stoke City to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Stoke City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Watford vs Stoke City preview & analysis
Match preview
Watford host Stoke City in the Championship (Regular Season - 7) at Vicarage Road on Saturday, 12 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Watford arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Preston 2-1 at home. They're 22nd in the table with 8 points from 10 games. Stoke City arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Cardiff 1-1 away. They're 8th in the table with 16 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Watford have won 2, Stoke City have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Watford narrow favourites: Watford 44%, draw 38%, Stoke City 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Watford- 8 SeptHPreston2-1
- 5 SeptAWest Brom0-1
Stoke City- 8 SeptACardiff1-1
- 5 SeptHCharlton4-0
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Watford vs Stoke City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Watford vs Stoke City?
+
Watford are favourites. Our model gives Watford a 44% chance of winning, Stoke City 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Stoke City?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Watford vs Stoke City kick off?
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Watford vs Stoke City kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at Vicarage Road, Watford.
